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College degrees have been considered a ticket to financial success for a long time, but faith in the return on investment of higher education appears to be waning. Enrollment at some institutions is in decline, and some analysts are pushing back against the narrative that college is necessary. While this isn’t a new debate, changes in employer expectations and generational differences are shaping the way we discuss the value of a college education.
Pro: You’re more likely to make higher wagesCollege graduates continue to have statistically higher wage potential than their peers without degrees. A Burning Glass Institute study recently found that the “four-year degree is still a valuable commodity, delivering an immediate 25% wage premium within a year of graduation,” The Wall Street Journal reported, noting that the difference remained consistent over 12 years. A degree also “makes it easier for graduates to recover from early career struggles” and allows unemployed graduates to “move up more easily into jobs where more of their coworkers have a degree.”
Part of why graduates have more upward mobility is because their degrees are a “gateway to professional occupations, such as business and engineering, in which workers learn new skills, get promoted and gain managerial experience,” David Deming wrote in The Atlantic. In contrast, workers without degrees tend to “end up in personal services and blue-collar occupations, for which wages tend to stagnate over time.”
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Con: Some companies don’t value degrees like they once didEmployers from various industries have stopped requiring college degrees for certain positions. They are instead considering more skills-based qualifications, thus creating alternative routes for entering the workforce. Some companies have “invested in hiring routes such as apprenticeships so new recruits can train on the job,” Financial Times reported. Even though the shift is often “just virtue-signaling,” Joseph Fuller, co-lead of Harvard Business School’s Managing the Future of Work program, told the Times, he believes “eliminating degree requirements is smart business and an appropriate thing to do.”
Pro: The value of a degree trickles down into societyPostsecondary education ultimately “benefits society writ large,” Diane Cheng, vice president of research and policy at the Institution for Higher Education Policy, told Inside Higher Ed. The advantages graduates gain from a college education “flow down to their communities, to their families, to their economies,” Cheng said. So investing in resources to make college more affordable and “improve postsecondary value is really something that benefits everyone.”
Con: The burden of student debt can outweigh the benefits of higher edWhen it comes to the high cost of higher education, “the United States is an outlier in more ways than one,” Paul Tough wrote in The New York Times Magazine. In other countries, the government subsidizes the cost of college, bringing tuition as low as $2,000 a year or even “essentially zero.” A few decades ago, U.S. state and federal governments also covered much of the cost of public colleges. “Now students and their families bear much of the burden,” often taking out onerous student loans to cover the rising costs, “and that fact has changed what used to be a pretty straightforward calculation about the economic value of college into a complex math problem” that doesn’t always end in a positive number.
Pro: You’ll have a longer life expectancyWhile doing research for a recently published paper, Princeton economists Anne Case and Angus Deaton discovered that the “America of those without college degrees has been scarred by death and staggeringly shorter life spans,” the pair wrote in an essay in The New York Times. “For those without college degrees, life expectancy reached its peak around 2010 and has been falling since.” The issue is “an unfolding disaster that has attracted little attention in the media or among elected officials,” they added.
Con: New grads make less than their parents did when starting outToday’s college graduates are making less money on average than their parents did after they finished school. Over the past four decades, graduates’ salaries have decreased by more than 10% after adjusting for inflation, according to a recent report by Self Financial. In 1984, new “graduates earned $23,278, on average, or $68,342 in today’s dollars,” which is “roughly $7,254 more than 2023 graduates,” CNBC summarized.